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November 21, 2007

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Thom H.

I'm curious. Is there a down side to this? One of those unintended consequences? Will changes in the Plasmodium population affect the mosquito population? It seems obvious that it would have some effect on the human population, i.e. fewer malarial infections and deaths in those areas prone to malaria. What else? Difficulty in supporting a population boom? A human migration into previously unlivable areas, and a consequent degredation of the associated wetlands?

Cambias

Thom:

Well, if the consequences are unintended, nobody's going to know about them beforehand.

Malaria's caused by Plasmodium protozoans. They are parasites, cycling between mosquito and vertebrate host. As near as I can tell, the ones that prey on humans don't infect other vertebrates.

As to the problem of a human population boom -- I think there are better ways to protect wetlands than hoping millions of people die.

Thom H.

>"Well, if the consequences are unintended, nobody's going to know about them beforehand."

Not necessarily. Sometimes the implementers of a plan ignore the flag wavers at the back of the crowd. There have been projects whose detrimental effects could have been predicted IF someone had stopped long enough to do some studies or paid attention to data that alrady existed.
In any case, it seems on the surface that eliminating Plasmodium sp. would be less detrimental than, say, eliminating mosquitos. Not that I like mosquitos but I'd hate to see Gambusia and dragonflies starve to death. It's that kind of unintended consequence that I was really thinking of, i.e. does plasmodium constitute a link in some chain such that breaking it will create a larger problem. if not, then, "so long Malaria, glad to see you go." The change in human population demographics was less of a concern but maybe something we should still think about. It's a "forewarned is forearmed" sort of thing.

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About Us

  • Diane A. Kelly
    Diane Kelly is a Senior Research Fellow at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, where she studies the neural wiring and mechanical engineering of reproductive systems.
  • James L. Cambias
    Jim Cambias writes science fiction and designs games in the lonely wilderness of Western Massachusetts.

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